About; Social . Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. We will not share your email address with any third parties. Opinion polling on Scottish independence - Wikipedia This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. US ; About ; For business ; . BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. Published Polls - Savanta - ComRes However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. YouGov: The Times: GB 2,003 23% 46%: 9% 4% 7% 8% 3%. Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. Journalism in Britain is under threat. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. In all polls the dont knows are removed. Britain Elects. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. Shock poll finds Tories are heading for near total wipeout in Wales Which party will you vote for? The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. Humza Yousaf takes the lead as SNP members swing behind Nicola Sturgeon's man, The 'worst health secretary in the history of devolution' is just ahead of his rivals in the SNP leadership contest, although a third of Nat members still don't know who to vote for, Ian Blackford 'looking forward' to end of police probe into SNP's 'murky' finances as he dodges Peter Murrell question. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. Crucially for the Union, the SNP would be some distance off a majority share if the election was to be regarded as a 'de facto' referendum on independence, as Nicola Sturgeon has suggested. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. All Rights Reserved. Education. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50% to 44% in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40% to 36% in the regional list,. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. Scottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. A YouGov poll in March of last year found that 55% backed keeping the monarchy . Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. , in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Yahoo News / YouGov polls . Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. Poll Analysis: YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 - Ballot Box Scotland Copyright 1997 - 2023 NewsNow Publishing Limited. First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote, and from 40 per cent to 36 per cent in the regional vote and from 43 per cent to 42 per cent for Westminster. Voting Intention: Con 25%, Lab 48% (9-10 Nov 2022) | YouGov Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. The headline data used in calculating these averages has been drawn from that laid out in the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Opinium, Survation, SavantaComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Techne, Delta Poll,and Ipsos Mori. Should the public's feeling remain largely down. Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. By clicking 'Create Account and Subscribe' you agree to us creating an account for you and subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. Scots cop claims World's End serial killer committed 'three more murders in Glasgow ', Retired detective Allan Jones claims Sinclair should have been tried for the murders Anna Kenny, Hilda McAuley and Agnes Cooney, Eddie Howe makes damning Ryan Fraser Newcastle admission as Scotland star's 'commitment' questioned. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. A Y Labour opens up historic poll lead over Tories after days of market Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunak's party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. Holy oil prepared to anoint King Charles III during coronation during ceremony in Jerusalem. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to Company number: SC669393. 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Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Easy-to-digest video clips. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. Between January 2015 and December 2022 over 230 polls have been published and recorded in the main table. Dates. Much of the YouGov poll's Labour lead was buoyed by 17% of people who had previously voted for Boris Johnson saying they would now vote for Labour - double that of a week ago. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%. Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. The pollster found. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . By the time that the SNP under Alex Salmond had won an outright majority at Holyrood in 2011, support for Scottish independence had started to nudge back up towards 40%. This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. Latest Westminster voting intention (14-15 Feb)Con: 22% (-2 from 8-9 Feb)Lab: 50% (+3)Lib Dem: 9% (-1)Reform UK: 7% (+1)Green: 6% (=)SNP: 4% (=)https://t.co/WMc2U2wZbs pic.twitter.com/NZ9QZygUG7. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds. A new poll published by YouGov Tuesday shows that Sunak would lose to any of his three remaining rivals among Tory members in a final two-way round of votes. All Rights Reserved. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. : medium.com. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. Voting Intention: Con 21%, Lab 54% (28-29 Sep 2022) | YouGov In the latest YouGov voting intention poll, the Conservatives have closed their gap with Labour to just four points. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. Scottish Opinion Polls - Electoral Calculus The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. Jeremy Corbyn is not allowed to stand as a Labour MP at the next election would he still get your vote? British Social Attitudes Survey 39, reported in The Times, 22 Sep 2022Full results I Chapter on Culture WarsMain findings: YouGov, May 2022Full report I DataMain findings: Equalities, Human Rights and Civil Justice Committee, Scottish Parliament, reported 23 May 2022, Wings Over Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 02 May 2022: Voting for people who hate you. Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. All Rights Reserved. Scottish Opinion Polls News | Latest Opinion Polls - NewsNow However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. Sponsors of pro-Obi opinion polls creating grounds for post-election violence. Another. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . Latest Scottish Independence Opinon Poll Data - Which Side Is Ahead? Scottish independence poll: do people in Scotland want to be Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. NewsNow: Opinion polls news | Every Source, Every Five Minutes, 24/7 news Speaking on BBC Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme, Nicola Sturgeon said her aim at May's Holyrood election was winning a . Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. View our Privacy PolicyandTerms & Conditions, TheLondonEconomic.com Open, accessible and accountable news, sport, culture and lifestyle. Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . Should a general election be held today, this would likely lead to the following composition of the House of Commons: The result of a general election is projected as a Labour victory with the party securing an outright majority of 46 seats. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. Should religious people be allowed to hold top political jobs? Worst polling for Yes since 2019 as SNP support continues to drop, poll . This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. Early 2021. The YouGov Cost of Living Segmentation YouGov 12:02 7-Feb-23. While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. Pollster. A poll of more than 1,000 people . Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. In 2022, the level of people polled citing dont know has fluctuated around the 5%-8% level. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. Energy & utilities. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Five missions focused on fixing the fundamentals, says Starmer ahead of major speech, The decline and fall of the one nation Conservative. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. We will not share your email address with any third parties. We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Voting Intention polls & surveys | YouGov YouGov | What the world thinks Scottish election 2021: Sturgeon says SNP 'not a divided party' Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. Question asked is stated in notes field. Poll: DeSantis surges to 5-point lead over weakened Trump in 2024 YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Easy-to-digest video clips. Labour scalps would include Tommy Sheppard, Angus MacNeil, Douglas Chapman and Stewart McDonald. Latest general election voting intention opinion polls - Mark Pack Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. The Conservatives have climbed by three percentage points to 33 per cent since the last poll. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Labour conference: Party surges in polls as 'clown show' economics